Tuesday, 13 September 2016

Boring Apple Still Edges Andriod, BetVictor Aftermath

iPhone 7 Revealed

Apple has released the much awaited iPhone 7 and the general consensus is that it is everything that is expected. These days its a big of an inside joke that Apple just don't change things that much at all, so its no surprise that the new phone looks almost exactly the same as the old design.

Actually the newest previous model 6SE literally went backwards to the iPhone 5 design!

Here a quick lowdown of the improvements;

[Please repeat these "standard ones" with every new model released];

  • Lighter - It weighs less.
  • Screen is Better - Sharper colours.
  • More Powerful - Better chip A10 upgraded from A9.
  • Better Camera - Back one is still 12MP but front has gone from 5 to 7MP. Dual camera improving zoom for the S.
  • Longer Battery - 2 hours longer.

The newish;

  • Capacity - Finally scrapping the 16GB model, which is way too low considering their iOS update itself was a few GB! Models start at 32GB up to 256GB, which really has been the industry standard for a long time...
  • 5 Colours - Rose Gold (Pink), Gold, Silver, Black, Jet Black (Glossy)
  • Waterproof - Apparently losing the headphone jack allowed this to happen. Unfortunately, Samsung got there first.
  • New Home Button - When is a home button not a button? Well, the iPhone 7! This is not an actually button anymore, it uses the force touch gesturing introduced in the 6S. I'm looking forward to seeing how the force touch operates, basically adding a click/pushing gesture to the touch screen.

  • Stereo Sound - With the removal of the headphone jack, they've used that space to put more speakers. Will this be as loud as a club, enough to annoy other bus passengers with your chavvy music? Time will tell...
Headphone Jacks are gone!

A lot of people are complaining about this, but I don't personally think its a big problem. As expected Apple has included an adapter so that you can use normal headphone jacks with every phone. 

The main concern is sometimes people might wanna charge their phone while listening to something, most of the time using an external charging product to top up their battery. So it will be interesting to see whether the extra 2 hours of battery life really make a difference and if it is a real problem for those on the go.

I remember back then there was a lot of people complaining about various things going, whether it be the wheel from the ipod, the swipe to unlock, or firewire replaced by the lightning port. I'm not too happy about losing the mag-safe adapter from the laptops, I thought that was an amazing idea, but as things move on, things have to become more efficient and simple.

The airpods are a pretty cool concept, but I do think that a lot of them might get lost as they're so small. I'm glad to see things move towards a wireless future, but bluetooth has been around for ages and it hasn't really caught on in a big way, so only time will tell if this catches on.

Not Leader in Innovation, But Simple Still Trumps All

With Jobs gone, so did Apple's innovation mojo. Amazing reveals such as the introduction of the wheel in ipods, replacing a stylus with your finger (now stylus is back!) for the ipad reveal, and the lightest macbook air that fit in an envelope just don't happen anymore in the way it did before.

Losing Jobs also lost his vision, and direction for the company. Never have we ever seen Apple buckling to pressure from customers outcry about missing the iPhone 5 model, re-releasing it in iPhone 6SE. Steve Jobs would have stubbornly ignored those outcrys for a different and better model.

Another contradiction to their previous ethos was the scrapping and merging of their "Pro" and "Air" series. Clearly, Steve Jobs had two brands in mind, and it really did make sense. The Air being a lighter, smaller, more casual use of products, and the Pro's being for more hardcore work.

Despite their misdirection, Apple has one thing over Android, and no longer can they say it is innovation. Its simplicity.

As a graduate in Interactive Design, I can say that the Android interface is pretty terrible. Too many menu's, too much bloatware (pre installed Apps that you cannot remove), too much of everything tbh. Apple realised that there was a huge market to tap into, and that was technology scared (mostly older) customers!

Keep the interface simple, remove all unnecessary steps and apps, and most importantly, create a hub where any newbie can go to get help without feeling embarrassed or patronised by an annoyed tech guy. Genius bar is indeed a genius idea, where no question is stupid and no customer is turned away. I honestly believe that most genius bar employees don't even know that much about computers at all, but they know how to explain the basics well.

If Android ever catch on to this, Apple is done for sure. But for now, they enjoy their uber cool tech savvy customers who love the freedom of customisation and other perks of a less simple product.

I love the simplicity of Apple's products, and that's why even though I'm bashing the company, I will and almost always upgrade to their new iPhones. Simples.

BetVictor Party Spins Aftermath

After last week's blog, I emailed BetVictor a link to my blog and I got a response.

It was good that someone of worth had responded instead of an auto answer email. So from this email we can conclude that 3x's were meant to be there from the start, and that the multipliers and blind levels were not updated on their website correctly which was a mistake.

Their calculations were based on the fact that players would have to play a 200k spins to get that 5% rake, which is ~5 years of playing 1600 games a month. Really, really, reaaaaaally totally not the cheapest in the industry!

Monday, 5 September 2016

BetVictor Spins MisInformation Mayhem!

Shopping Around

Last month I decided to have a go at BetVictor's "Fish Party" Lottery SNGs. One of the reasons I chose to learn Spins is that I knew that other sites had followed suit and it would allow for me to bar poker site crawl around and unlock some deposit bonuses at the very least.

With a lot of the Lottery SNGs still having worse rake then Pokerstars, as well as the inconvenience of moving money around to possible riskier smaller sites, it would have to be really worth it to move. However, rakeback shopping at PokerVIP or RakeTheRake, it can make it more profitable then Stars to at least unlock the deposit bonuses.

I noticed that BetVictor was introducing Lottery SNGs in July, and so jumped on the chance to unlock the bonus, since I had got a "diamond" for life status at my account which allowed me to get 30% rakeback without needing any minimum rake earnings.

With all these considerations, I tried to do some calculations beforehand and really be as careful as I could be in working out whether it was worth it. This was their structure shown on their website;

After starting the grind I noticed something that was shocking to me...

It wasn't 4x's but 3x's! Was this something that was always there, or did they decide to change this after one month of launch? Either way, its an absolute disgrace that their webpage gives out the wrong information.

Also, their webpage gives out the wrong information on the blinds structure as well. The antes are way bigger then the information showed there...

Its really sad to see that there's no consequence when companies do this, surely it should be their priority to make sure that the information is correct. Its basically fraud, as there is no way in hell I would have played these knowing that the 4x's are actually 3x's.

The Numbers

I've had a quite bit of help from a player off the Spins Skype group so hopefully these are right.

The rolling Jackpot is around 100k Euros atm for 10 stake, but since its so unlikely I didn't add that into my calculations.

Lets look at the numbers and compare how much substantially harder it is to beat these games when it is 3x rather then 4x.

Here we can see that in the 4x original probabilites pre-rakeback the breakeven point is 50 Chip EV and EV ITM of 36.7% needed. Post rakeback of 30% its pretty similar.

BetVictor Spins with 4x Structure for 10 Euro Stake at 5% rake

This would actually be comparable to Stars $15 stake which rakes at 6%. Breakeven is 40 Chip EV but EV ITM is also 36%. Post rakeback is 30 Chip EV and 35% ITM. Ironically the lower rake in BetVictor means that rakeback effects the EV needed less!

Pokerstars $15 Stake Spins at 6% rake

Now look at when the 4x's are replaced with 3x's. The numbers are ridiculous in comparison.
Chip EV breakeven point is 100 with 40% ITM needed, and with rakeback its 95 Chip EV. Only the very best Spins players in the world can reach these numbers.

BetVictor's 4x to 3x changes at 10 Euro Stake at 5% rake.

On their page they make the claim that their 5% rake is one of the "cheapest in their industry". But with these changes, the effective rake is probably one of the highest.

Since the 3x is replacing the 4x without adjusting the occurrence numbers, BetVictor gets to essentially keep an extra buy in of prizepool, therefore hiking up the effective rake.

BetVictor Review

Even though this whole mess was due to an updated website, there are some things to be said that aren't all gloom and doom.

The depositing process needed ID and proof of address for the maximum amount needed for the deposit bonus. But with their website having a live chat, this made things a lot easier, and makes me wish that Pokerstars would have one day...

All of them were quite helpful, especially when I wanted information before I went for the deposit. My only mistake was not checking with them that their website was accurate, but then again why would I?

Oh all of them apart from this one woman, she had no clue... it was too funny!

I quickly gave up on her... maybe first day?
Upon finding out about the error I emailed them and they promptly updated their website. However, the blinds structures are still wrong.

I was also surprised that I was allowed to cash out everything. Most of the time these sites have a minimum rake needed that players had to pay before allowing a cash out. This could be due to the complaint I had made, or maybe I had played enough? 

As far as the games go, they are soft... but only during peak time. I found this one reg during the day who was on every single game I played almost. With around 7k players during peaktime around 6pm+ (hide your wives, step aside 200k playerpool Pokerstars!), the games are totally soft as one would expect. But its just not instantly popping up like Pokerstars, maybe a few second wait.

I played 224 spins there, 73/74/76 distribution, ev bb/100 at 2.5 and I lost half my roll excluding rakeback. 

I don't know why they changed the 4x's to 3x's after one month, when the industry standard is 2x, 4x, 6x, 10x...

Anyways, this is a long ass post, I haven't done one in a few weeks. Really wanna stick to a weekly thing. Its nice to be back on Stars! #Hate/LoveRelationship Hope y'all doing well in ur games, til next time!